Friday, November 13, 2015

Stop doing it!

The New York Times has been wringing its hands about the expansion of market power of companies in certain industries as they have grown through mergers and acquisitions (of course, the NYT applauds the growth of government power wherever it occurs). 

Mergers to gain scale are especially bothersome to the editors at the Times since Jason Furman and  Peter Orzag’s research seems to show that firm size is a factor that exacerbates income inequality (big firms pay better). 
(http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/01/opinion/sunday/how-mergers-damage-the-economy.html?_r=0)

The NYT caterwauling about consolidation reminds me of the story of the charity concert at which Bono was performing.   Bono stood up and began clapping his hands over his head and said, “Every time I do this, a child in Africa dies.”

From the back row, someone stood up and yelled, “Well stop f—ng doing that then!!”
The NYT, ever the supporter of larger, more intrusive government spending and regulation, cheered the Obama administration on when it bulldozed its way into the finance and health care industries.  In these two major industries, the Affordable Care Act and Dodd Frank have themselves ignited industry consolidation. 

Christopher Pope, in his article, “How the Affordable Care Act Fuels Health Care Market Consolidation,” he noted:

The shackling of competition is an essential feature of Obamacare, not a bug.  The health care system it establishes relies on unfunded mandates to raise revenue, seeks to cross-subsidize care with regulations, and views genuine competition as a threat it its funding structure.  As a result, it is obliged to standardize insurance options and eliminate cheaper alternatives that threaten to undercut its preferred plan designs.  By inhibiting competition between insurers and encouraging their integration with providers, Obamacare further erodes competitive checks on monopoly power of hospitals.  It strengthens incentives for hospital systems to buy up independent medical practices and surgery centers, weakens the competitive discipline on prices, and reduces the array of options available for patients.

It is no surprise then, that consumers have been harmed with higher costs and higher premiums that resulted from enactment of the ACA and that government policy is creating incentives for entities to consolidate.

Likewise, Dodd-Frank, which was enacted in response to the financial crisis of '08 had much the same results.  As Eugen Fama noted in his comments a few weeks ago, Dodd-Frank did not do away with "Too Big to Fail" as a policy.  Rather, it enshrined it.  And by raising compliance costs dramatically, the law is wiping out an essential aspect of the finance industry that in no way was responsible for the meltdown--community banks.  Community banks now cannot afford the hugely burdensome compliance requirements demanded by the government.  As a result, no new banks have been chartered and there has been a precipitous drop off in numbers of community banks and assets that are held by them.  The large banks have grown even larger and more powerful--precisely the opposite of what policymakers thought would be the correct prescription for the finance industry following the crash.

In a recent Harvard study by Marshall Lux and Robert Greene, the authors noted:

Consolidation is likely driven by regulatory economies of scale--larger banks are better suited to handle heightened regulatory burdens than are smaller banks, causing the average costs of community banks to be higher.

With the regulators of the Obama administration merrily and prolifically spinning out hundreds of pages of new rules as we speak, small businesses cannot hope to keep up, nor can they afford the huge compliance staff necessary to satisfy the army of regulators decending upon them.
Anecdotally, I can attest to conversations with several business owners of small companies that told me the same tale of woe.  One small meat processor told me, “I have to sell.  I simply cannot afford a 20 person compliance department.”

Government interference in markets had a substantial role to play in the housing crisis, just as its policies were responsible for gas lines in the 70’s.   Similarly, look behind the inflation in college tuition and what do we find?  Again, you guessed it--Big Government. 

(http://www.cnsnews.com/commentary/hans-bader/federal-financial-aid-drives-tuition-and-college-costs-study-finds)

Proponents of Big Government are decrying the widening of income inequality.  If Furman and Orzag are correct and firm size is a large factor in income inequality, then we are really seeing is that Big Government policies are actually driving consolidation in several different industries.


If the NYT really wants mergers, and by implication, the growth in income disparity to slow down, it should call upon Big Government to “stop f---ng doing it then.”

Monday, November 2, 2015

Conversations


Some time ago, I wrote about how much Facebook had added to my life.   It has permitted me to reconnect with old friends,classmates, and coworkers and stay abreast of family members (especially those with whom it is best for all concerned to stay connected from afar).  Yes, there are downsides to it--oversharing among them--but that is easily remedied by deleting someone from your feed.

Twitter is even better.  I now get much of my news through Twitter and it permits you to quickly flip through to articles and essays that may be of interest to you.   Even better, it allows you to join conversations with some really wonderful minds from your smartphone.  Its 140 character limit (which, sadly, Twitter is planning on relaxing) forces concision and pithiness.  I count it as a small victory if I am retweeted, favorited, or even answered by a public intellectual.

Last week, I was answered by Garry Kasparov, former world chess champion, writer, and anti-Putin activist, author of the new book, "Winter is Coming:  Why Vladimir Putin and the Enemies of the Free World Must Be Stopped."  

Kasparov tweeted:
Uh-oh, Kerry is talking to Lavrov again. Already Assad stays & Iran is at the table. By tomorrow he'll have given Alaska back to Russia.

I answered:
We're also working on giving back part of Arizona and California back to Mexico. Big downsizing plan. 

Kasparov responded:
Well, smaller borders are easier to protect! Very clever plan. 

Then someone else chimed in:
Crap, I live in Wyoming; better learn to speak French.

It's a brief, punchy exchange, laced with humor, but highlights in four little tweets, two matters of grave global concern:  Obama's decision to withdraw the United States from its traditional post-WWII role as a global power wherever and whenever he can, second, the simultaneous opportunity that Vladimir Putin is seizing to move into that vacated space.  

This is the genius of Twitter.  In a few sentences, three people were able to establish that we are all on the same page.  Without a long diatribe from any of us, it is a safe bet that we see the world vision of Obama and of Putin as unsettling and disturbing.    Twitter enabled me to connect with an important voice and share the fear that the simultaneous retreat by the U.S. and resurgence of  Russia may be the most dangerous threat to freedom and democracy since the 1930's.