The Left often gets policy dreadfully wrong, but is rarely
apologetic about it. Liberals like Ted
Kennedy were so certain about policies and outcomes and were prepared to impose
tremendous costs on us, expose us to risks, and in some cases, erode our freedoms
and livelihoods to pursue a path to nowhere.
Once again, we are being asked to make large sacrifices in
the name of climate change. With Al Gore as the great proselytizer, we are
told that climate change is “settled science,” and that anyone that questions
it is a “climate change denier,” (language that associated with Holocaust
deniers), and is relegated to the same intellectual status as fundamentalist
Christians that chose the book of Genesis over Evolution.
However, before we blindly accept the Left’s demands that we
kill certain industries (e.g. coal), use public funds to fund others (solar)
and agree to impose large costs on ourselves, it is worthwhile to remind
ourselves of a few of the big misses the
Left has had during our lifetime.
·
Population
Bomb. Certainly, Paul Ehrlich was at the forefront of this looney bomb of
an idea. I remember reading his book
Population, Resources, Environment in the early 70’s. The basic notion was that earth had a fixed
“carrying capacity” and that population growth was exponentially headed to a
place that would exceed earth’s capacity (today’s stepchild idea is
“sustainability.” There would be dire
consequences if population growth was not arrested—widespread famine, depletion
and social unrest. He proposed Ehrlich and his progeny proposed zero
population growth (ZPG) and, if voluntary measures weren’t sufficient, proposed mandatory sterilization. What we are learning now is that the truth is
the exact opposite. Population growth is
vital to a growing economy. And growing,
vibrant economies are gentler on the environment. And Ehrlich and “intellectuals” of his ilk
assume that science, technology and business processes do not advance. They most certainly do. Almost a half century after his landmark
book, the Population Bomb, we are now worried more about population
crashes. Europe, Japan, China and Russia
face tremendous economic problems not because of overpopulation, but because of
an aging one with fertilization rates down dramatically. The same has occurred in the Muslim world as
Muslim populations are crashing from 7 births per woman a generation ago to 2
now. Compared to other countries,
America is in decent shape, especially with immigration. If we would have followed the prescriptions
of Ehrlich and his ilk, we would have been in deeper trouble and it would have
taken a Nazi-like government to execute them.
·
Peak Oil.
This is my personal favorite.
Peak oil is the ugly cousin of ZPG—the foundational notion is that we
are a planet whose population is outrunning its resources. The idea of peak oil really got lift during
the oil embargo and gained momentum during the disastrous Carter years. Even as recently as a few years ago, when gas
was hovering at $4/gallon, President Obama, defending his energy policies,
piously announce, “We can’t drill our way out of this problem.”
Uh, we kinda did.
We are now drowning in the stuff. We don’t have enough storage capacity. Banks balance sheets are in pretty good shape now, except for loans to oil related companies. Osama bin Laden is dead and so is OPEC. As sanctions have been dropped, Iranian oil is coming on line as well. All those smug Middle East regimes that thought they could freeze America out are looking at an oil exporting America now—despite the restrictions that Obama put on leases permitting drilling on federal land and offshore drilling. At the root of this is good old American innovation—sideways drilling and fracking. The oil industry, ever a demonic icon of the Left has done a great job of marginalizing the importance of those odious Middle Eastern regimes. Unleashed, American industry and technological innovation have a pretty good track record of problem solving. The Left has been very quiet about this lately (except for the extremists that want to ban fracking with no evidence to support why it makes sense).
Uh, we kinda did.
We are now drowning in the stuff. We don’t have enough storage capacity. Banks balance sheets are in pretty good shape now, except for loans to oil related companies. Osama bin Laden is dead and so is OPEC. As sanctions have been dropped, Iranian oil is coming on line as well. All those smug Middle East regimes that thought they could freeze America out are looking at an oil exporting America now—despite the restrictions that Obama put on leases permitting drilling on federal land and offshore drilling. At the root of this is good old American innovation—sideways drilling and fracking. The oil industry, ever a demonic icon of the Left has done a great job of marginalizing the importance of those odious Middle Eastern regimes. Unleashed, American industry and technological innovation have a pretty good track record of problem solving. The Left has been very quiet about this lately (except for the extremists that want to ban fracking with no evidence to support why it makes sense).
· Giving the Palestinians a homeland will end
terrorism. This idea has been the
conventional wisdom since the 1972 Olympics, and still echoes around the Obama
administration. It makes about as much
sense as Marie Harf’s assertion that “we can’t kill our way out of this problem
[Islamism],” and that what is needed is more economic opportunity (derided as
“jobs for jihadis”). This idea
accelerated after the first Gulf War and a deal was almost reached in 1993 and
ended with the Israelis giving up large concessions and Arafat walking away
from the deal. But bad actors from
Saddam Hussein to Osama bin Laden routinely cited “the plight of the Palestinians”
on their list of grievances to justify their bad acts.
We now know that the Palestinian issue is a red herring. Every Jew in Israel could agree to pack up and move to Miami and New York, hand the deed to the Palestinians and never come back, and Islamic terrorism would continue unabated. Funded by the Iranians, Hamas and Hezbollah will continue to harass Israel and seek its destruction. Despite liberal attempts to punish Israel (even pushing for boycotts and disinvestment) and frame the Israelis as the oppressors, the Palestinian issue is, and has been, a sideshow since the Iranian revolution. Islamic terror wouldn’t even slow down if a two state solution could even be reached. But that doesn’t keep the Left from trying. As recently as a few years ago, Obama was calling on Israel to pull back to its 1967 borders and just last week Biden was bashing Netanyahu’s policies. “Land for peace” is illusory. It won’t stop attacks on Israel and certainly won’t affect the Islamist’s ardor for attacking the West anywhere else.
We now know that the Palestinian issue is a red herring. Every Jew in Israel could agree to pack up and move to Miami and New York, hand the deed to the Palestinians and never come back, and Islamic terrorism would continue unabated. Funded by the Iranians, Hamas and Hezbollah will continue to harass Israel and seek its destruction. Despite liberal attempts to punish Israel (even pushing for boycotts and disinvestment) and frame the Israelis as the oppressors, the Palestinian issue is, and has been, a sideshow since the Iranian revolution. Islamic terror wouldn’t even slow down if a two state solution could even be reached. But that doesn’t keep the Left from trying. As recently as a few years ago, Obama was calling on Israel to pull back to its 1967 borders and just last week Biden was bashing Netanyahu’s policies. “Land for peace” is illusory. It won’t stop attacks on Israel and certainly won’t affect the Islamist’s ardor for attacking the West anywhere else.
·
SDI. Just
as Obama mocked Romney in the 2012 debates for asserting that Russia was our
greatest existential threat (“the 80’s are calling and want their foreign
policy back”—now Russia is buzzing our warships and surveillance planes), the
Left mocked Reagan’s plan for a defensive shield as “Star Wars.” But missile defense has made great strides
in the 33 years since Reagan proposed it.
SDI has not, of course, turned out exactly the way Reagan envisioned
it. But it has already had three large
victories under its belt. First, the
very idea was instrumental in ending the Cold War. Reagan would not bargain it away to the
Soviets at Reykjavik, even though he did not even have it to bargain away. But the mere idea of an effective shield
using US technology was more than the Soviets could bear. Second was the success of the Patriot missile
system in the Persian Gulf War. Its
actual effectiveness was somewhat limited, but it was enough to keep the
Israelis from being dragged into the war.
Third was the Iron Dome. Using
technologies developed from SDI, the Israelis have developed their own missile
system that has been effective at intercepting Hamas rockets and keeping them
from inflicting more Israeli casualties.
Recently, I saw a presentation by James Syring, head of the US Missile
Defense Agency. I was impressed with our
capabilities and they keep improving.
With Iran and North Korea plowing ahead with their missile programs, the
vision of Ronald Reagan is still very much alive, although in different
form. Ted Kennedy and other liberal
Democrats worked hard to defund and kill the program and it is easily
foreseeable that we will be happy if it is even somewhat effective. It does not have to be close to 100%
effective (although that would be nice).
But if it is enough to change the probabilities, these bad actors might
have second thoughts about attacking us first.
And if we are successful in knocking down an Iranian or North Korean strike, people will forget how dreadfully wrong those on the Left were. These examples were huge whiffs by policy advocates that either had or could have had costly implications including the loss of human life on a grand scale. Before we dive right in and merely accept policy prescriptions on climate change, we ought to think about the Left’s track record on some of these big issues as we confront their push to restrict freedom and enlarge government power in the name of climate change. They couldn’t have been more wrong.
And if we are successful in knocking down an Iranian or North Korean strike, people will forget how dreadfully wrong those on the Left were. These examples were huge whiffs by policy advocates that either had or could have had costly implications including the loss of human life on a grand scale. Before we dive right in and merely accept policy prescriptions on climate change, we ought to think about the Left’s track record on some of these big issues as we confront their push to restrict freedom and enlarge government power in the name of climate change. They couldn’t have been more wrong.
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